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Nolan Fitzhenry Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2009-02-10 Country: USA
Top 18 — 2027 NHL Draft Prospect
North Dakota
NCHC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2025-26 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 68 22 31 53 0.779 0.5793 0.5858 2.9226 2.9553
2026-27 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 8 4 5 9 1.125 0.8362 0.8362 4.2185 4.2185
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5451
Forward overall
#18
Forward born in 2009

D1 Comparables

J.T. Compher
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Michigan (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.70 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Taylor Cammarata
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.58 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.98 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.73 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Vinnie Hinostroza
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.30 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.94 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Elite
NCAAe PPG

North Dakota Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Mac Swanson
USHL 2023-24
0.47
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Tyson Jost
BCHL 2015-16
1.06
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Brock Boeser
USHL 2014-15
1.43
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Jayden Perron
USHL 2022-23
0.46
actual FR PPG at North Dakota

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.