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Justin Stelzer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1995-05-28 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Portland Jr. Pirates USPHL-Premier-Classic 30 4 1 5 0.167 0.0468 0.0471 0.1373 0.1383
2015-16 Rochester Jr. Americans USPHL-Premier-Classic 33 5 12 17 0.515 0.1446 0.1385 0.4243 0.4065
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Stevenson D1 — SR 20 2 3 5 0.250
2019-20 Stevenson D3 MAC SR 20 2 3 5 0.250
2018-19 Stevenson D1 — JR 14 2 3 5 0.357
2018-19 Stevenson D3 MAC JR 14 2 3 5 0.357
2017-18 Stevenson D3 MAC SO 11 1 2 3 0.273
2016-17 Stevenson D3 MAC FR 14 0 2 2 0.143
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.14
2016-17 · Stevenson
+63.7% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#45727
Forward overall
#1968
Forward born in 1995
#218
in USPHL-Premier-Classic

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Derek Mecrones
New England · 2016-17
0.483 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Taylor Gauld
Concordia (WI) · 2014-15
0.520 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jake Watchorn
Finlandia · 2009-10
0.333 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.