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Alex Nagel Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-11-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 New Ulm Steel NA3HL 35 19 31 50 1.429 0.1721 0.1730 0.4513 0.4536
2017-18 New Ulm Steel NA3HL 45 25 37 62 1.378 0.1660 0.1584 0.4352 0.4153
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Wisconsin-Stout D3 WIAC SR 23 3 6 9 0.391
2020-21 Wisconsin-Stout D3 BigTen JR 11 0 6 6 0.545
2019-20 Wisconsin-Stout D3 BigTen SO 23 4 9 13 0.565
2018-19 Wisconsin-Stout D3 BigTen FR 26 5 6 11 0.423
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.42
2018-19 · Wisconsin-Stout
+200.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24609
Forward overall
#1067
Forward born in 1997
#284
in NA3HL

D1 Comparables

Ian Miller
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Nick DeCenzo
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Army (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Doucet
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Air Force (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Austin Wisely
Hamline · 2016-17
0.300 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Jeff Oddleifson
Wentworth · 2003-04
0.619 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Dustin Skinner
Nichols · 2007-08
0.700 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.