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Luca Esposito Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-07-31 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 — OJHL 49 11 17 28 0.571 0.1596 0.1632 0.3943 0.4033
2017-18 — OJHL 50 18 12 30 0.600 0.1676 0.1634 0.4141 0.4036
2018-19 Markham Royals OJHL 51 17 21 38 0.745 0.2082 0.1927 0.5142 0.4760
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 SUNY Cortland D3 SUNYAC JR 19 1 6 7 0.368
2019-20 SUNY Cortland D3 — FR 20 4 8 12 0.600
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.60
2019-20 · SUNY Cortland
+287.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
38%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#22279
Forward overall
#882
Forward born in 1998
#1761
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Jayson Angus
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cody Marooney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Clint Carlisle
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.78 PPG
→ Army (0.52 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Kyle Herbster
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2018-19
0.636 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Pennington
Marian · 2001-02
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Braden Hellems
Adrian · 2014-15
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.