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Mathew Rehding Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-06-30 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 54 11 16 27 0.500 0.1502 0.1605 0.3422 0.3656
2017-18 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 50 18 18 36 0.720 0.2163 0.2207 0.4928 0.5028
2018-19 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 48 15 28 43 0.896 0.2691 0.2614 0.6132 0.5957
2019-20 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 53 20 39 59 1.113 0.3344 0.3344 0.7620 0.7620
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Adrian D3 NCHA SR 32 16 32 48 1.500
2022-23 Adrian D3 NCHA JR 31 11 21 32 1.032
2021-22 Adrian D3 NCHA SO 23 5 7 12 0.522
2020-21 Adrian D1 — FR 23 4 10 14 0.609
2020-21 Adrian D3 NCHA FR 23 4 10 14 0.609
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.61
2020-21 · Adrian
+190.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
50%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16968
Forward overall
#809
Forward born in 1999
#746
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Brett Skibba
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ UConn (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alfred Larsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Merrimack (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Saar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Penn State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tanner Pond
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Wood
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ RPI (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jake Nelson
St. Scholastica · 2003-04
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Cole Gibson
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2009-10
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Austin Morgan
New England · 2016-17
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.