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Lucas Jorgenson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-07-16 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Holy Family USHS-MN 26 5 31 36 1.385 0.1753 0.1753 0.3363 0.3363
2020-21 North Iowa Bulls NA3HL 28 9 25 34 1.214 0.1524 0.1524 0.3834 0.3834
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Gustavus Adolphus D3 MIAC SR 9 0 1 1 0.111
2023-24 Gustavus Adolphus D3 MIAC JR 15 1 1 2 0.133
2022-23 Gustavus Adolphus D3 MIAC SO 12 1 1 2 0.167
2021-22 Gustavus Adolphus D3 MIAC FR 8 0 1 1 0.125
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2021-22 · Gustavus Adolphus
-16.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
72%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14536
Forward overall
#678
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Ian Mansfield
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Army (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Fitzgerald
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.12 PPG
→ Boston College (0.72 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cédric Lacroix
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.13 PPG
→ Maine (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Horton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Harvard (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Kyle Wendorf
Hamline · 2014-15
0.400 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brian Miller
Nazareth · 2014-15
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Eric Selleck
SUNY Oswego · 2005-06
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.