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Nick Serio Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2001-03-01 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 P.A.L. Junior Islanders NCDC 31 0 4 4 0.129 0.0526 0.0526 0.1037 0.1037
2020-21 P.A.L. Junior Islanders NCDC 40 0 5 5 0.125 0.0510 0.0510 0.1005 0.1005
2021-22 P.A.L. Junior Islanders NCDC 38 0 14 14 0.368 0.1502 0.1398 0.2961 0.2757
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 SUNY Cortland D3 SUNYAC SR 22 0 5 5 0.227
2024-25 SUNY Cortland D3 SUNYAC JR 8 0 1 1 0.125
2023-24 SUNY Cortland D3 SUNYAC SO 28 2 12 14 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2023-24 · SUNY Cortland
+278.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11358
Defenseman overall
#2074
Defenseman born in 2001
#1325
in NCDC

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Vinny Muchalla
Wentworth · 2008-09
0.412 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ben Lamm
Chatham · 2018-19
0.286 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Austin Miller
UMass Dartmouth · 2018-19
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.