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Michael Hurst Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-07-03 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Kent School NE-Prep 24 4 3 7 0.292 0.0587 0.0587 0.1334 0.1334
2020-21 Kent School NE-Prep 5 1 3 4 0.800 0.1609 0.1609 0.3658 0.3658
2021-22 Kent School NE-Prep 27 8 24 32 1.185 0.2383 0.2383 0.5420 0.5420
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Chatham D3 UCHC — 24 3 7 10 0.417
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.42
2022-23 · Chatham
+134.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
38%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#23809
Forward overall
#1302
Forward born in 2003
#206
in NE-Prep

D1 Comparables

Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Mitch Hults
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jake Horton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Harvard (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Aston-Reese
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dakota Dubetz
Marian · 2006-07
1.333 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jonathan Grebosky
Concordia · 2011-12
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Adam Tretowicz
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2016-17
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.