IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Connor Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-09-24 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Fort Frances (Ontario) USHS-MN 7 0 4 4 0.571 0.0723 0.0723 0.1388 0.1388
2020-21 Minnehaha Academy USHS-MN 19 23 11 34 1.790 0.2266 0.2266 0.4347 0.4347
2021-22 Tampa Bay Juniors USPHL-Premier 44 30 24 54 1.227 0.1605 0.1608 0.4165 0.4172
2022-23 Tampa Bay Juniors USPHL-Premier 43 26 23 49 1.139 0.1490 0.1419 0.3867 0.3683
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Johnson & Wales D3 CNE SO 26 15 5 20 0.769
2024-25 Johnson & Wales D3 CNE — 22 3 4 7 0.318
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2024-25 · Johnson & Wales
+148.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16155
Forward overall
#844
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Riley Riddell
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2006-07
0.273 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Sifferlen
UMass Boston · 2015-16
0.444 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Kyle Hall
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2012-13
0.462 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.