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Connor Loerzel Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-10-31 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 New Jersey Rockets USPHL-Premier 23 2 5 7 0.304 0.0343 0.0362 0.1035 0.1094
2023-24 Wellington Dukes OJHL 51 5 12 17 0.333 0.0817 0.0767 0.2281 0.2143
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Western Connecticut D3 LittleEast SO 16 1 3 4 0.250
2024-25 Fredonia D3 SUNYAC FR 12 0 1 1 0.083
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.08
2024-25 · Fredonia
+45.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D1
28%
NCAA D2/D3
50%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16925
Defenseman overall
#3067
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Patrick Koudys
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ RPI (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Kirk
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Dartmouth
0.17 No data
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Valleau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
Kyle McKenzie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.14 PPG
→ Providence (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Taki Pantziris
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Brown
0.15 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Garrett Krieger
SUNY Cortland · 2023-24
0.348 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Josh Brodeen
Bethel · 2006-07
0.200 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Jake DellaValle
Lake Forest · 2008-09
0.292 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.