← New Search ↗ Social Card

Aaron Andrade Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-05-24 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Georgetown Raiders OJHL 54 5 11 16 0.296 0.0890 0.0953 0.2028 0.2171
2022-23 Georgetown Raiders OJHL 53 12 20 32 0.604 0.1814 0.1849 0.4133 0.4214
2023-24 OJHL 51 22 35 57 1.118 0.3357 0.3248 0.7650 0.7402
2024-25 OJHL 55 15 36 51 0.927 0.2786 0.2553 0.6347 0.5815
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC FR 25 10 8 18 0.720
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.72
2025-26 · Buffalo State
+197.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#18266
Forward overall
#934
Forward born in 2004
#842
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Oswego · 2023-24
0.885 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2007-08
0.435 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Southern Maine · 2006-07
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.