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Alex Elander Varrin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-02-17 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — USPHL-Premier 40 1 4 5 0.125 0.0141 0.0144 0.0425 0.0435
2023-24 Fort Wayne Spacemen USPHL-Premier 40 7 13 20 0.500 0.0564 0.0549 0.1701 0.1657
2024-25 — USPHL-Premier 40 0 12 12 0.300 0.0338 0.0309 0.1021 0.0935
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Western New England D3 CNE — 15 0 1 1 0.067
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.04
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.07
2025-26 · Western New England
+74.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#15951
Defenseman overall
#3028
Defenseman born in 2004
#4551
in USPHL-Premier

D1 Comparables

Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Kevin Smith
Finlandia · 2011-12
0.182 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Mark Baker
Nichols · 2005-06
0.231 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Tanner Okeson
Concordia · 2015-16
0.259 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.