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Luke Howard Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2007-08-21 Country: Canada
RIT
AHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Aurora Tigers OJHL 56 6 20 26 0.464 0.1138 0.1227 0.3196 0.3446
2025-26 — OJHL 46 8 36 44 0.957 0.2344 0.2400 0.6584 0.6742
2026-27 Toronto Patriots OJHL 11 3 10 13 1.182 0.2897 0.2845 0.8134 0.7989
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Age-Out / Club
52%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3647
Defenseman overall
#541
Defenseman born in 2007
#654
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Davis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Christian Neumann
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ UConn (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

RIT Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Tristan Allen
BCHL 2022-23
0.45
actual FR PPG at RIT
Mason Croucher
BCHL 2023-24
0.00
actual FR PPG at RIT
Aiden Hansen-Bukata
BCHL 2018-19
0.10
actual FR PPG at RIT
Dimitri Mikrogiannakis
BCHL 2018-19
0.17
actual FR PPG at RIT

D2/3 Comparables

Roman Cherniak
Lawrence · 2023-24
0.842 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mac Olson
Hobart · 2010-11
0.846 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Bobko
Chatham · 2022-23
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.