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Matthew Zay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1991-01-01 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2010-11 Pembroke Lumber Kings CCHL 55 18 35 53 0.964 0.3077 0.2903 0.7459 0.7036
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2014-15 Mercyhurst D1 AHA SR 39 12 20 32 0.821
2013-14 Mercyhurst D1 AHA JR 35 17 26 43 1.229
2012-13 Mercyhurst D1 AHA SO 41 13 26 39 0.951
2011-12 Mercyhurst D1 AHA FR 36 5 9 14 0.389
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.39
2011-12 · Mercyhurst
+56.5% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#14961
Forward overall
#569
Forward born in 1991
#252
in CCHL

D1 Comparables

Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Siiro
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Princeton (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Connor Beatty
Endicott · 2018-19
1.333 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Chase Nieuwendyk
SUNY Brockport · 2010-11
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
P.A. Martineau
Hobart · 2016-17
0.357 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.