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A.J. Panchenko Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1985-05-09 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 Danville Wings USHL 52 4 6 10 0.192 0.1134 0.1149 0.5776 0.5851
2004-05 Indiana Ice USHL 59 3 10 13 0.220 0.1300 0.1251 0.6616 0.6369
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2008-09 St. Thomas D3 CCHA SR 25 3 3 6 0.240
2007-08 St. Thomas D3 CCHA JR 28 1 3 4 0.143
2006-07 St. Thomas D3 CCHA SO 26 2 4 6 0.231
2005-06 St. Thomas D3 CCHA FR 6 0 0 0 0.000

NCAAe Rankings

#13179
Defenseman overall
#1275
Defenseman born in 1985
#3544
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Dan Molenaar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
James Roll
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.22 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Cameron McDonald
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.11 PPG
→ Providence (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Johnny Hrabovsky
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Victor Björkung
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Trevor Faucher
Lake Forest · 2022-23
0.783 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Sebastian Panetta
SUNY Geneseo · 2004-05
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Andrew Morris
Elmira · 2000-01
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.