IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Charlie Spence Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-03-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Andover NE-Prep 29 2 15 17 0.586 0.1161 0.1161 0.2671 0.2671
2019-20 Andover NE-Prep 25 3 8 11 0.440 0.0872 0.0872 0.2005 0.2005
2020-21 Boston Jr. Bruins NCDC 25 2 2 4 0.160 0.0652 0.0652 0.1286 0.1286
2021-22 Boston Jr. Bruins NCDC 40 2 7 9 0.225 0.0917 0.0902 0.1809 0.1779
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Holy Cross D1 AHA — 14 0 1 1 0.071
2022-23 Holy Cross D1 AHA — 30 1 2 3 0.100
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.08
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2022-23 · Holy Cross
+19.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
50%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13908
Defenseman overall
#2644
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Aleksi Rossi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ Brown
0.08 No data
NCAAe PPG
Johnny Hrabovsky
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Cameron McDonald
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.11 PPG
→ Providence (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Parker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Vinny Muto
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Niagara (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Max Hamstad
Bethel · 2022-23
0.217 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Klein
Wisconsin-Superior · 2008-09
0.533 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jack Kelly
St. Norbert · 2016-17
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.