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Elias Jansson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-04-13 Country: Finland
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Kärpät U20 SM-Liiga-Jr 1 0 0 0 0.000
2022-23 Kärpät U20 SM-Liiga-Jr 39 6 13 19 0.487 0.2637 0.2850 0.7236 0.7821
2023-24 Kärpät U20 SM-Liiga-Jr 46 22 35 57 1.239 0.6707 0.6891 1.8403 1.8908
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Michigan Tech D1 CCHA SO 37 8 14 22 0.595
2024-25 Michigan Tech D1 CCHA 36 12 11 23 0.639
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.49
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.64
2024-25 · Michigan Tech
+30.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
82%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5401
Forward overall
#162
Forward born in 2005
#94
in SM-Liiga-Jr

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ UMass (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Elite
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.80 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Elite
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.67 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.74 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ UMass
0.61 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Wilkes · 2015-16
1.423 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2000-01
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.