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Dawson Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-06-07 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Rogue Valley Royals USPHL-Premier 43 22 32 54 1.256 0.1643 0.1540 0.4262 0.3996
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 University of Michigan-Dearborn ACHA_D1 — — 32 3 4 7 0.219
2024-25 University of Michigan-Dearborn ACHA_D1 — — 32 3 4 7 0.219
2023-24 University of Michigan-Dearborn ACHA_D1 — — 32 3 4 7 0.219
2022-23 University of Michigan-Dearborn ACHA_D1 — — 32 3 4 7 0.219
2021-22 University of Michigan-Dearborn ACHA_D1 — — 32 3 4 7 0.219
2020-21 University of Michigan-Dearborn ACHA_D1 — — 32 3 4 7 0.219

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8617
Forward overall
#409
Forward born in 2002
#336
in USPHL-Premier

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Preston Hazelton
Concordia (WI) · 2021-22
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Luke Challier
Manhattanville · 2010-11
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Nicholas Keck
SUNY Potsdam · 2015-16
0.526 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.