IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Keaton Toenjes Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-02-25 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Carolina Jr. Hurricanes USPHL-Premier 44 2 22 24 0.545 0.0714 0.0695 0.1851 0.1802
2023-24 Carolina Jr. Hurricanes USPHL-Premier 42 4 37 41 0.976 0.1277 0.1182 0.3313 0.3066
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Arizona State ACHA_D1 NCHC — 18 2 0 2 0.111
2024-25 Arizona State ACHA_D1 NCHC — 18 2 0 2 0.111
2023-24 Arizona State ACHA_D1 NCHC — 18 2 0 2 0.111
2022-23 Arizona State ACHA_D1 NCHC — 18 2 0 2 0.111
2021-22 Arizona State ACHA_D1 NCHC — 18 2 0 2 0.111
2020-21 Arizona State ACHA_D1 NCHC — 18 2 0 2 0.111

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4118
Defenseman overall
#1028
Defenseman born in 2003
#1309
in USPHL-Premier

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tyler Besner
Bryn Athyn · 2016-17
0.300 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Rylan Burns
Amherst · 2004-05
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jared Domin
Adrian · 2017-18
0.429 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.