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Lucas Rauner Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-02-17 Country: USA
Lawrence
NCHA D3

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Cloquet/Esko/Carlton USHS-MN 19 0 2 2 0.105 0.0133 0.0133 0.0256 0.0256
2021-22 Cloquet/Esko/Carlton USHS-MN 27 1 13 14 0.518 0.0656 0.0656 0.1259 0.1259
2022-23 Cloquet/Esko/Carlton USHS-MN 24 7 19 26 1.083 0.1371 0.1371 0.2631 0.2631
2023-24 NCDC 25 3 9 12 0.480 0.1957 0.2017 0.3858 0.3977
2024-25 Idaho Falls Spud Kings NCDC 53 1 27 28 0.528 0.2154 0.2124 0.4246 0.4188
2025-26 Idaho Falls Spud Kings NCDC 52 2 32 34 0.654 0.2666 0.2486 0.5255 0.4900
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
45%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2382
Defenseman overall
#568
Defenseman born in 2005

D1 Comparables

QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

Lawrence Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

0.57
actual FR PPG at Lawrence
0.00
actual FR PPG at Lawrence
0.54
actual FR PPG at Lawrence
0.38
actual FR PPG at Lawrence

D2/3 Comparables

UMass Dartmouth · 2018-19
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Morrisville · 2017-18
0.360 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Chatham · 2024-25
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.