IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Andrew Lay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1992-01-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2010-11 Flint Jr. Generals NA3HL 44 29 38 67 1.523 0.1911 0.1915 0.4807 0.4816
2011-12 Flint Jr. Generals NA3HL 45 20 45 65 1.444 0.1813 0.1720 0.4560 0.4327
2012-13 Flint Jr. Generals NA3HL 31 10 31 41 1.323 0.1660 0.1493 0.4175 0.3755
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2012-13 Lawrence D3 NCHA — 0 0 0 0 0.000

NCAAe Rankings

#14070
Forward overall
#546
Forward born in 1992
#179
in NA3HL

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jesse Modahl
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2001-02
0.733 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex O'Dowd
Franklin Pierce · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Vincent Crivello
Nichols · 2015-16
0.700 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.