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Jack Nesbitt Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-01-12 Country: Canada
2025 · Round 1, Pick #12  ·  Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
Michigan
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Windsor Spitfires OHL 58 9 9 18 0.310 0.1795 0.1948 0.7973 0.8651
2024-25 Windsor Spitfires OHL 65 25 39 64 0.985 0.5696 0.5887 2.5299 2.6146
2025-26 Windsor Spitfires OHL 55 25 33 58 1.054 0.6100 0.5997 2.7095 2.6639
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
95%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5751
Forward overall
#87
Forward born in 2007
#305
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Nathan Walker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Marian (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alex Iafallo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Toninato
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Average
NCAAe PPG
Frank Vatrano
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ UMass
0.58 No data
NCAAe PPG
Peter Quenneville
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.80 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG

Michigan Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Gavin O'Connell
USHL 2022-23
0.68
actual FR PPG at Michigan
Michael DeAngelo
USHL 2023-24
0.27
actual FR PPG at Michigan
Kyle Kukkonen
USHL 2021-22
0.69
actual FR PPG at Michigan
Dexter Dancs
BCHL 2013-14
0.28
actual FR PPG at Michigan

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2017-18
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Christopher Miraldo
Westfield State · 2022-23
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2023-24
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.