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Ethan MacKenzie Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-09-02 Country: Canada
2026 · Round 3, Pick #69  ·  Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
North Dakota
NCHC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 50 1 11 12 0.240 0.1168 0.1302 0.5862 0.6533
2023-24 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 26 1 5 6 0.231 0.1123 0.1196 0.5638 0.6005
2024-25 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 54 5 27 32 0.593 0.2883 0.2917 1.4475 1.4645
2025-26 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 59 22 36 58 0.983 0.4783 0.4618 2.4014 2.3185
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2026-27 North Dakota D1 NCHC FR 0 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
82%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2659
Defenseman overall
#525
Defenseman born in 2006
#530
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Barrett Kaib
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Jaccob Slavin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

North Dakota Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Dane Montgomery
USHL 2020-21
0.19
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Christian Wolanin
USHL 2014-15
0.47
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Andrew Strathmann
USHL 2023-24
0.13
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Troy Stecher
BCHL 2012-13
0.26
actual FR PPG at North Dakota

D2/3 Comparables

Donny Flynn
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.423 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jared Goudreau
Southern New Hampshire · 2014-15
0.833 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.