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Josh Birkholz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1991-03-28 Country: USA
2009 · Round 3, Pick #67  ·  Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2008-09 Fargo Force USHL 55 21 15 36 0.654 0.3861 0.4081 1.9657 2.0777
2010-11 Everett Silvertips WHL 68 18 11 29 0.426 0.2075 0.1960 1.0465 0.9884
2011-12 Everett Silvertips WHL 70 29 28 57 0.814 0.3962 0.3536 1.9980 1.7830
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2009-10 Minnesota D1 BigTen FR 36 5 1 6 0.167
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.35
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.17
2009-10 · Minnesota
-52.3% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#13025
Forward overall
#504
Forward born in 1991

D1 Comparables

Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Todd Skirving
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arvega Hovsepyan
Salve Regina · 2023-24
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Quinn Waller
Adrian · 2006-07
1.586 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Luke Moodie
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.