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Nikita Pavlychev Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-03-23 Country: Russia
2015 · Round 7, Pick #197  ·  Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 4 0 1 1 0.250 0.1475 0.1615 0.7509 0.8224
2014-15 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 42 6 10 16 0.381 0.2248 0.2352 1.1443 1.1970
2015-16 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 58 9 13 22 0.379 0.2237 0.2236 1.1392 1.1388
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Penn State D1 BigTen SR 27 7 7 14 0.518
2018-19 Penn State D1 BigTen JR 39 14 15 29 0.744
2017-18 Penn State D1 BigTen SO 35 9 5 14 0.400
2016-17 Penn State D1 BigTen FR 36 6 7 13 0.361
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.36
2016-17 · Penn State
+84.8% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#23544
Forward overall
#1070
Forward born in 1997
#2292
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Jimmy DeVito
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.35 PPG
→ RPI (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mackenzie MacEachern
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.42 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brad Hawkinson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Denver
0.19 No data
NCAAe PPG
Mason Jobst
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.86 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Brian Morgan
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Maine (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arturas Laukaitis
Wisconsin-Stout · 2015-16
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
James Duhamel
Norwich · 2003-04
0.692 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ikki Kogawa
Wisconsin-Superior · 2021-22
1.056 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.