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Tommy Novak Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-04-28 Country: USA
2015 · Round 3, Pick #85  ·  Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 — NTDP-U18 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2014-15 — USHL 46 14 34 48 1.044 0.6156 0.6470 3.1340 3.2939
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2018-19 Minnesota D1 BigTen SR 38 4 17 21 0.553
2017-18 Minnesota D1 BigTen JR 34 3 23 26 0.765
2016-17 Minnesota D1 BigTen SO 20 5 9 14 0.700
2015-16 Minnesota D1 BigTen FR 37 6 21 27 0.730
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.60
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.73
2015-16 · Minnesota
+21.2% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Trevor Moore
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.02 PPG
→ Denver (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.63 Strong
NCAAe PPG
J.T. Compher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.96 PPG
→ Michigan (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.69 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.87 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Anthony Louis
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Miami (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.