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Casey Mittelstadt Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-11-22 Country: USA
2017 · Round 1, Pick #8  ·  Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 — USHS-MN 25 22 25 47 1.880 0.2380 0.2465 0.4567 0.4729
2015-16 — NTDP-U18 13 7 6 13 1.000 0.7433 0.7455 3.7314 3.7425
2016-17 — USHL 24 13 17 30 1.250 0.7374 0.7609 3.7542 3.8741
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2017-18 Minnesota D1 BigTen FR 34 11 19 30 0.882
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.75
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.88
2017-18 · Minnesota
+17.5% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#2940
Forward overall
#151
Forward born in 1998

D1 Comparables

Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.73 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Brendan Harms
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.66 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Kelleher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.63 Average
NCAAe PPG
Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Anthony Louis
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Miami (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.