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Mac Welsher Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-04-24 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Sioux City Musketeers USHL 3 0 0 0 0.000
2016-17 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 1 0 0 0 0.000
2017-18 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 47 7 6 13 0.277 0.1632 0.1637 0.8307 0.8334
2018-19 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 53 18 28 46 0.868 0.5120 0.4872 2.6067 2.4806
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast GR 30 4 9 13 0.433
2022-23 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SR 32 7 5 12 0.375
2021-22 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast JR 32 6 2 8 0.250
2020-21 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SO 13 1 1 2 0.154
2019-20 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast FR 31 7 5 12 0.387
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.39
2019-20 · Merrimack
+26.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

95%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10085
Forward overall
#458
Forward born in 1999
#856
in USHL

D1 Comparables

OHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Miami (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.90 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.12 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Fitchburg State · 2016-17
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Endicott · 2015-16
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.