IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Henry Thrun Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2001-03-12 Country: USA
2019 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #101  ·  Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 — NTDP-U18 60 7 32 39 0.650 0.5040 0.5132 2.4192 2.4632
2018-19 — NTDP-U18 64 8 29 37 0.578 0.4483 0.4336 2.1516 2.0810
2020-21 — USHL 24 8 14 22 0.917 0.5635 0.5635 2.7008 2.7008
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Harvard D1 ECAC — 33 7 24 31 0.939
2021-22 Harvard D1 ECAC — 35 7 25 32 0.914
2019-20 Harvard D1 ECAC FR 31 3 18 21 0.677
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.44
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.68
2019-20 · Harvard
+54.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Matt Nuttle
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Cornell
0.43 No data
NCAAe PPG
Will Butcher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Clark Kuster
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ St. Cloud State
0.30 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Gross
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Brodzinski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.54 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Fox
Salem State · 2006-07
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Logan DiScanio
New England · 2017-18
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.