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Alex Mella Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-02-21 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Austin Bruins NAHL 50 17 10 27 0.540 0.1984 0.2035 2.0024 1.9919
2018-19 Madison Capitols USHL 61 15 10 25 0.410 0.2417 0.2280 1.2308 1.1609
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast SR 4 1 0 1 0.250
2021-22 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast JR 28 0 2 2 0.071
2020-21 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast SO 1 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast FR 14 0 1 1 0.071
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.07
2019-20 · Northeastern
-61.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

62%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#23009
Forward overall
#1144
Forward born in 1999

D1 Comparables

Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Siiro
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Princeton (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Evan Janssen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Eric Bolden
Elmira · 2015-16
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Payden Benning
Curry · 2007-08
1.074 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Imala
Fitchburg State · 2022-23
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.