IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Colton Fletcher Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-04-07 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Kenai River Brown Bears NAHL 34 4 2 6 0.176 0.0655 0.0707 0.1869 0.2019
2015-16 Great Falls Americans NA3HL 3 3 3 6 2.000 0.2410 0.2467 0.6318 0.6468
2016-17 — NAHL 52 9 19 28 0.538 0.1999 0.1962 0.5702 0.5597
2017-18 Aberdeen Wings NAHL 59 20 21 41 0.695 0.2580 0.2405 0.7358 0.6858
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 SUNY Oswego D3 — SO 10 4 1 5 0.500
2018-19 SUNY Oswego D3 — FR 7 0 1 1 0.143
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.14
2018-19 · SUNY Oswego
-25.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
32%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#20744
Forward overall
#873
Forward born in 1997
#2015
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Bradley Duwe
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Clint Carlisle
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.78 PPG
→ Army (0.52 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nick Marinac
SUNY Brockport · 2012-13
0.905 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mike Faliero
SUNY Cortland · 2016-17
0.739 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Carvalho
Morrisville · 2012-13
0.833 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.