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Nikita Kozyrev Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-07-08 Country: Estonia
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Minnesota Magicians NAHL 49 10 12 22 0.449 0.1650 0.1723 0.4739 0.4948
2017-18 Springfield Jr. Blues NAHL 57 15 27 42 0.737 0.2707 0.2693 0.7777 0.7736
2018-19 Springfield Jr. Blues NAHL 51 20 25 45 0.882 0.3242 0.3080 0.9314 0.8848
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC SR 26 14 19 33 1.269
2021-22 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC JR 21 5 11 16 0.762
2020-21 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC SO 0 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Buffalo State D1 SUNYAC FR 26 9 23 32 1.231
2019-20 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC FR 26 9 23 32 1.231
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.23
2019-20 · Buffalo State
+391.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

57%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16364
Forward overall
#760
Forward born in 1998
#852
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Andy Willock
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2005-06
0.727 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Joe Birmingham
Connecticut College · 2011-12
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dennis Sicard
Buffalo State · 2005-06
0.643 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.