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Tanner Breidenbach Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1997-09-23 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Apollo High USHS-MN 25 9 24 33 1.320 0.1671 0.1633 0.3206 0.3134
2016-17 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 51 2 10 12 0.235 0.0864 0.0868 0.2484 0.2496
2017-18 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 41 2 4 6 0.146 0.0538 0.0514 0.1544 0.1475
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Concordia D3 MIAC SR 26 5 7 12 0.462
2020-21 Concordia D3 MIAC JR 2 0 0 0 0.000
2020-21 Concordia (MN) D1 — JR 2 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Concordia D3 MIAC SO 25 0 4 4 0.160
2019-20 Concordia (MN) D1 — SO 25 0 4 4 0.160
2018-19 Concordia D3 MIAC FR 20 1 4 5 0.250
2018-19 Concordia (MN) D1 — FR 20 1 4 5 0.250
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.25
2018-19 · Concordia
+303.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12145
Defenseman overall
#1896
Defenseman born in 1997

D1 Comparables

William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Patrick Koudys
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ RPI (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Kirk
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Dartmouth
0.17 No data
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Kyle Crable
Wisconsin-Stout · 2003-04
0.556 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Dillon Schmidt
Fredonia · 2022-23
0.208 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Carmine Totillo
Western New England · 2014-15
0.191 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.