IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Michael Spethmann Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-08-11 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 St. Cloud Cathedral USHS-MN 25 6 2 8 0.320 0.0394 0.0402 0.0777 0.0794
2017-18 Kenai River Brown Bears NAHL 60 12 13 25 0.417 0.1480 0.1479 0.4375 0.4372
2018-19 Kenai River Brown Bears NAHL 60 19 17 36 0.600 0.2131 0.2034 0.6299 0.6013
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 St. Norbert D3 NCHA SR 28 7 9 16 0.571
2021-22 St. Norbert D3 NCHA JR 30 5 8 13 0.433
2020-21 St. Norbert D3 NCHA SO 0 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 St. Norbert D1 — FR 29 6 6 12 0.414
2019-20 St. Norbert D3 NCHA FR 29 6 6 12 0.414
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.41
2019-20 · St. Norbert
+166.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#31286
Forward overall
#1563
Forward born in 1998

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Chris Santiago
Utica · 2009-10
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Lawson MacDougall
Hobart · 2015-16
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Tanner Karty
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2014-15
0.833 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.