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Joel Pavey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-07-18 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Minnesota Magicians NAHL 43 8 7 15 0.349 0.1281 0.1347 0.3682 0.3871
2019-20 Minnesota Magicians NAHL 23 1 3 4 0.174 0.0639 0.0639 0.1836 0.1836
2020-21 Navan Grads CCHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Elmira D3 UCHC SR 22 2 1 3 0.136
2023-24 Elmira D3 UCHC JR 26 1 7 8 0.308
2022-23 Elmira D3 UCHC SO 8 0 1 1 0.125
2021-22 Elmira D3 UCHC FR 14 1 2 3 0.214
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2021-22 · Elmira
+85.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
88%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#40369
Forward overall
#2198
Forward born in 2000

D1 Comparables

Gage Torrel
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average
NCAAe PPG
Adam Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jason Ford
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Nate Arentz
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Nikolas Olsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Boston University (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tristen May
Hamline · 2023-24
0.640 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Daniel Woodford
Suffolk · 2022-23
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Brendan Hull
Marian · 2004-05
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.