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Patrick Johnson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-06-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 1 1 0 1 1.000 0.3674 0.3674 1.0555 1.0555
2020-21 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 34 5 3 8 0.235 0.0864 0.0864 0.2484 0.2484
2021-22 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 50 16 15 31 0.620 0.2278 0.2394 0.6544 0.6878
2022-23 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 58 18 29 47 0.810 0.2977 0.2983 0.8553 0.8569
2023-24 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 59 20 20 40 0.678 0.2491 0.2377 0.7156 0.6827
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Robert Morris D1 AHA — 40 5 9 14 0.350
2024-25 Robert Morris D1 AHA — 34 3 5 8 0.235
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.24
2024-25 · Robert Morris
+5.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
40%
Age-Out / Club
18%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17550
Forward overall
#879
Forward born in 2003
#993
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jackson Tillinghast
Lake Forest · 2021-22
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Thomas Bishop
Suffolk · 2014-15
0.565 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Zdanowicz
UMass Dartmouth · 2021-22
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.