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Patrick Johnson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-06-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 1 1 0 1 1.000 0.3962 0.3962 1.0499 1.0499
2020-21 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 34 5 3 8 0.235 0.0932 0.0932 0.2470 0.2470
2021-22 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 50 16 15 31 0.620 0.2456 0.2581 0.6509 0.6841
2022-23 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 58 18 29 47 0.810 0.3210 0.3216 0.8507 0.8523
2023-24 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 59 20 20 40 0.678 0.2686 0.2563 0.7118 0.6791
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Robert Morris D1 AHA — 40 5 9 14 0.350
2024-25 Robert Morris D1 AHA — 34 3 5 8 0.235
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.24
2024-25 · Robert Morris
-2.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17668
Forward overall
#886
Forward born in 2003
#1018
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Max Routledge
Canton · 2017-18
0.619 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brendan Hull
Marian · 2006-07
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Thomas Bishop
Suffolk · 2014-15
0.565 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.