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Chase Freiermuth Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-07-10 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Hastings USHS-MN 27 25 32 57 2.111 0.5683 0.5683 0.5128 0.5128
2020-21 NAHL 45 7 8 15 0.333 0.1321 0.1321 0.3499 0.3499
2021-22 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 43 9 11 20 0.465 0.1843 0.1755 0.4883 0.4651
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Lake Forest D3 NCHA SR 27 5 7 12 0.444
2024-25 Lake Forest D3 NCHA JR 20 8 3 11 0.550
2023-24 Lake Forest D3 NCHA SO 25 14 12 26 1.040
2022-23 Lake Forest D3 NCHA FR 12 1 3 4 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2022-23 · Lake Forest
+17.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#20529
Forward overall
#969
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Becker · 2018-19
0.421 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2010-11
0.556 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Wisconsin-Stout · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.