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Connor Kelley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-01-30 Country: USA
2021 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #204  ·  Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 56 1 7 8 0.143 0.1108 0.1121 0.5319 0.5380
2019-20 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 34 0 1 1 0.029 0.0228 0.0228 0.1094 0.1094
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Providence D1 HockeyEast SR 37 1 3 4 0.108
2023-24 Providence D1 HockeyEast JR 34 1 11 12 0.353
2022-23 Providence D1 HockeyEast SO 21 0 6 6 0.286
2021-22 Minnesota D1 BigTen — 39 2 9 11 0.282
2021-22 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC — 39 2 9 11 0.282
2020-21 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC FR 25 3 2 5 0.200
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.20
2020-21 · Minnesota Duluth
+89.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
68%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#27970
Defenseman overall
#3993
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Jake Linhart
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.12 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Dan Willett
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ RIT (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Josh Jacobs
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Michigan (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Kale Bennett
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.07 PPG
→ Western Michigan
0.05 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Collins
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.16 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Richard Manley
SUNY Geneseo · 2006-07
1.150 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Steuck
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2021-22
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Carter Shinkaruk
Elmira · 2008-09
0.520 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.