IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Luke Roelofs Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-03-17 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Holy Family USHS-MN 26 3 7 10 0.385 0.1035 0.1035 0.0934 0.0934
2020-21 Holy Family USHS-MN 18 6 13 19 1.056 0.2842 0.2842 — —
2021-22 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 55 3 7 10 0.182 0.0720 0.0746 0.1909 0.1979
2022-23 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 56 5 14 19 0.339 0.1344 0.1327 0.3562 0.3517
2023-24 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 57 4 18 22 0.386 0.1529 0.1437 0.4053 0.3809
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bemidji State D1 CCHA SO 34 2 4 6 0.176
2024-25 Bemidji State D1 CCHA — 18 0 1 1 0.056
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.06
2024-25 · Bemidji State
-57.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13033
Defenseman overall
#2569
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Carson Jones
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2021-22
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryce Witman
Fredonia · 2018-19
0.150 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Hunter Luhmann
Endicott · 2017-18
0.421 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.