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Dylan Contreras Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-05-23 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Corpus Christi IceRays NAHL 55 5 20 25 0.455 0.1614 0.1688 0.4772 0.4990
2022-23 Corpus Christi IceRays NAHL 56 8 24 32 0.571 0.2030 0.2023 0.5999 0.5979
2023-24 Kenai River Brown Bears NAHL 60 19 36 55 0.917 0.3256 0.3089 0.9624 0.9132
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Alaska Anchorage D1 WCHA SO 26 3 3 6 0.231
2024-25 Alaska Anchorage D1 — — 29 8 4 12 0.414
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.41
2024-25 · Alaska Anchorage
+81.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17851
Forward overall
#902
Forward born in 2003
#1021
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Riley Storzuk
Concordia (WI) · 2012-13
0.704 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Orrin Hergott
St. Norbert · 2002-03
0.839 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Trent Cassan
SUNY Geneseo · 2003-04
0.821 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.