IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Michael Valdez Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-20 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Springfield Jr. Blues NAHL 53 6 13 19 0.358 0.1273 0.1373 0.3764 0.4061
2022-23 Wenatchee Wild BCHL 48 5 8 13 0.271 0.1043 0.1052 0.3946 0.3979
2023-24 Corpus Christi IceRays NAHL 30 7 9 16 0.533 0.1894 0.1860 0.5599 0.5498
2024-25 Corpus Christi IceRays NAHL 55 8 16 24 0.436 0.1550 0.1441 0.4582 0.4259
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Lawrence D3 NCHA — 12 0 3 3 0.250
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.25
2025-26 · Lawrence
+81.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D1
25%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#34752
Forward overall
#2109
Forward born in 2004
#3412
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tal Halliday
Concordia · 2021-22
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Fader
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2017-18
0.571 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
James Ring
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2013-14
0.786 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.