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Matt Stienburg Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-10-07 Country: Canada
2019 · Round 2, Pick #63  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 — USHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.1966 0.2014 1.0010 1.0255
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Cornell D1 ECAC — 18 2 5 7 0.389
2021-22 Cornell D1 ECAC — 28 13 16 29 1.036
2020-21 Cornell D1 ECAC — 0 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Cornell D1 ECAC FR 27 5 5 10 0.370
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.17
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.37
2019-20 · Cornell
+114.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ian Mansfield
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Army (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Horton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Harvard (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mitch Hults
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average
NCAAe PPG
Matt Gaudreau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Boston College (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Matt Wiesner
Babson · 2015-16
0.885 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Pat Egan
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2012-13
1.080 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Watts
Adrian · 2007-08
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.