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Lucas Di Chiara Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-02-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Danbury Jr. Hat Tricks NAHL 42 2 5 7 0.167 0.0612 0.0663 0.1760 0.1906
2022-23 Navan Grads CCHL 50 0 7 7 0.140 0.0304 0.0308 0.1083 0.1099
2023-24 Jersey Hitmen NCDC 48 7 15 22 0.458 0.1868 0.1832 — —
2024-25 Jersey Hitmen NCDC 49 6 23 29 0.592 0.2413 0.2259 0.4757 0.4454
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. John Fisher D3 UCHC FR 22 1 5 6 0.273
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.27
2025-26 · St. John Fisher
+38.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4104
Defenseman overall
#1038
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nick Minerva
Neumann · 2016-17
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Pearce Vance
Westfield State · 2015-16
0.476 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Blake Cotton
Trinity · 2024-25
0.650 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.