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Lucas Di Chiara Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-02-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Danbury Jr. Hat Tricks NAHL 42 2 5 7 0.167 0.0592 0.0641 0.1750 0.1895
2022-23 Navan Grads CCHL 50 0 7 7 0.140 0.0304 0.0308 0.1084 0.1100
2023-24 Jersey Hitmen NCDC 48 7 15 22 0.458 0.1059 0.1039 — —
2024-25 Jersey Hitmen NCDC 49 6 23 29 0.592 0.1368 0.1281 0.4785 0.4480
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. John Fisher D3 UCHC — 22 1 5 6 0.273
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.27
2025-26 · St. John Fisher
+143.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4671
Defenseman overall
#1209
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Henry Cleghorn
SUNY Geneseo · 2017-18
0.533 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Minerva
Neumann · 2016-17
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Joe Serpico
SUNY Geneseo · 2014-15
0.571 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.