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Caden Carlson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-05-29 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Philadelphia Hockey Club NCDC 38 5 6 11 0.289 0.0669 0.0669 0.2341 0.2341
2021-22 Philadelphia Hockey Club NCDC 41 8 12 20 0.488 0.1127 0.1119 0.2625 0.2616
2022-23 Waywayseecappo Wolverines MJHL 54 12 15 27 0.500 0.0963 0.0899 0.3151 0.2942
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Marian D3 NCHA GR 27 7 10 17 0.630
2024-25 Marian D3 NCHA SR 27 9 10 19 0.704
2023-24 Marian D3 NCHA JR 26 6 2 8 0.308
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.08
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.31
2023-24 · Marian
+264.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
68%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30472
Forward overall
#1787
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Kyle James
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2024-25
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
T.J. Manastersky
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Mike Bernardy
St. Norbert · 2006-07
0.381 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.