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Kaden Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-07-17 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Duluth East USHS-MN 24 0 1 1 0.042 0.0053 0.0053 0.0101 0.0101
2020-21 Duluth East USHS-MN 16 9 11 20 1.250 0.1583 0.1583 0.3036 0.3036
2021-22 Grand Rapids USHS-MN 28 19 30 49 1.750 0.2215 0.2215 0.4251 0.4251
2022-23 Oklahoma Warriors NAHL 47 8 11 19 0.404 0.1485 0.1491 0.4267 0.4285
2023-24 Oklahoma Warriors NAHL 59 23 26 49 0.831 0.3051 0.2918 0.8766 0.8384
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen — 0 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#15132
Forward overall
#736
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Adam Valadao
Curry · 2013-14
0.727 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Peter Bates
St. Norbert · 2016-17
0.875 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Andrew Morton
Curry · 2024-25
0.833 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.