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Riley Duran Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-01-25 Country: USA
2020 NHL Draft Round 6, Pick #182  ·  Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Lawrence Academy NE-Prep 29 6 10 16 0.552 0.1556 0.1556 — —
2019-20 Lawrence Academy NE-Prep 27 8 6 14 0.518 0.1463 0.1463 0.2373 0.2373
2020-21 — USHL 47 8 11 19 0.404 0.2485 0.2485 1.1911 1.1911
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Providence D1 HockeyEast JR 35 9 7 16 0.457
2022-23 Providence D1 HockeyEast SO 29 8 12 20 0.690
2021-22 Providence D1 HockeyEast FR 38 10 9 19 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2021-22 · Providence
+289.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
72%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Ryan Fitzgerald
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.12 PPG
→ Boston College (0.72 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Ian Mansfield
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Army (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cédric Lacroix
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.13 PPG
→ Maine (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Matt Gaudreau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Boston College (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Chris Carr
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.583 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Mitch Dillon
Bowdoin · 2003-04
0.480 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Dante Zapata
Utica · 2016-17
0.857 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.