← New Search ↗ Social Card

Gavin Duckworth Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-03-15 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 NAHL 13 1 3 4 0.308 0.1130 0.1172 0.3248 0.3369
2023-24 NAHL 50 8 10 18 0.360 0.1323 0.1309 0.3800 0.3760
2024-25 Elmira Aviators NAHL 41 3 14 17 0.415 0.1523 0.1427 0.4376 0.4100
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Nichols D3 CNE FR 26 4 7 11 0.423
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.42
2025-26 · Nichols
+258.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
60%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#36768
Forward overall
#2295
Forward born in 2004
#3776
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Trine · 2023-24
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Scholastica · 2004-05
0.518 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Lebanon Valley · 2004-05
0.909 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.