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Ryan Roethke Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-07-02 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Buffalo USHS-MN 19 6 8 14 0.737 0.0908 0.0908 0.1790 0.1790
2021-22 Buffalo USHS-MN 26 6 12 18 0.692 0.0853 0.0853 0.1682 0.1682
2022-23 Janesville Jets NAHL 10 1 0 1 0.100 0.0355 0.0374 0.1050 0.1105
2023-24 Provo Predators NCDC 42 19 17 36 0.857 0.1981 0.1979 0.2625 0.2637
2024-25 Melville Millionaires SJHL 28 15 9 24 0.857 0.2196 0.2071 0.6352 0.5990
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Concordia D3 MIAC — 21 4 5 9 0.429
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.17
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.43
2025-26 · Concordia
+146.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11778
Forward overall
#515
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Lawson MacDougall
Hobart · 2015-16
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Devin Brink
SUNY Geneseo · 2015-16
0.654 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Stefano Alonzi
SUNY Cortland · 2015-16
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.