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Spencer Smith Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-05-20 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Buffalo Jr. Sabres OJHL 47 19 18 37 0.787 0.1929 0.2152 — —
2019-20 Lincoln Stars USHL 34 5 4 9 0.265 0.1561 0.1561 0.7950 0.7950
2020-21 Lincoln Stars USHL 11 3 1 4 0.364 0.2145 0.2145 1.0920 1.0920
2021-22 Penticton Vees BCHL 53 11 14 25 0.472 0.1817 0.1770 0.6865 0.6686
2022-23 Penticton Vees BCHL 53 10 12 22 0.415 0.1599 0.1479 0.6041 0.5587
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Mercyhurst D1 AHA GR 14 1 2 3 0.214
2024-25 Mercyhurst D1 AHA SR 32 1 3 4 0.125
2023-24 Mercyhurst D1 AHA JR 34 3 5 8 0.235
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.24
2023-24 · Mercyhurst
+72.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#32091
Forward overall
#1906
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Anthony Starzi
Stevenson · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Salvatore Cerrato
Utica · 2024-25
0.690 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Kevin Balas
Adrian · 2010-11
0.444 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.