IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Luca Leighton Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-08-13 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 P.A.L. Junior Islanders NCDC 48 22 23 45 0.938 0.2167 0.2283 0.7581 0.7986
2022-23 P.A.L. Junior Islanders NCDC 45 22 41 63 1.400 0.3235 0.3272 1.1320 1.1451
2023-24 Rochester Jr. Americans NAHL 52 28 32 60 1.154 0.4098 0.3935 1.2114 1.1631
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA SO 20 4 2 6 0.300
2024-25 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA — 23 1 7 8 0.348
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.35
2024-25 · Long Island Univ.
+10.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4188
Forward overall
#113
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Wahlin
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.48 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Braydon Beahm
St. Norbert · 2024-25
0.968 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Brady Fleurent
New England · 2014-15
1.074 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Dakota Dubetz
Marian · 2008-09
1.333 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.